The likelihood that Haiti becomes a fully acknowledged narco-state is rising significantly with the military gains of armed groups. With their political allies, armed groups are now on the verge of taking political power, sources told Le Nouvelliste on Monday, April 14, 2025.

While CARICOM heads of state and government and the U.S. State Department declared on Sunday, April 13, their opposition to a change of governance in Haiti dictated by criminal groups—after a plea from Transitional Presidential Council (CPT) President Fritz Alphonse Jean—Colombian President Gustavo Petro had already pointed to alliances and sponsors behind the gang violence targeting civilians. On March 4, 2025, more than a month ago—while António Guterres' UN and the Security Council remained inactive, the Multinational Security Support mission (MMAS) lacked the promised personnel and resources, and the DEA had never been more transparent in Haiti—President Petro revealed that cocaine trafficking by armed groups and mafias from Catatumbo, a troubled northeastern Colombian region on the border with Venezuela, was “funding the violence in Haiti.”