Despite ongoing kidnappings and homicides, the metropolitan area of Port-au-Prince has experienced a certain respite in recent weeks. In some places, the sound of gunfire has ceased, and there are no longer mass exoduses of men, women, and crying children fleeing attacked neighborhoods to save their lives. In Cité Soleil, the warlords have observed a truce. However, no one knows how long this calm will last.

At the moment, it is difficult to make concrete plans and predict the duration of this period of relative tranquility. While the gangs, including Bwa Kale, have been shaken, the balance of power has not significantly, noticeably, or decisively shifted. The Haitian National Police (PNH) has not become stronger. The police still do not have full control of their own alma mater, the police school in Frères. Gang leader Vitelhomme Innocent reigns supreme there and can order kidnappings and punitive operations in a significant radius around his stronghold in Torcel. Areas like Tabarre, Frères, Pernier, Carradeux, Kay Gro, Fatima, Colette, and Péguy-Ville are essentially his backyard. Those who are kidnapped and held captive in his dungeons must negotiate their release. The PNH, a fragile entity whose need for reinforcement is discussed during international meetings on Haiti, remains weak.